Government Response to Drug Shortages: Federal Actions in 2025-2026

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Government Response to Drug Shortages: Federal Actions in 2025-2026
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By the end of 2024, over 300 drugs were in short supply across the United States. Hospitals were scrambling. Oncology patients waited weeks for chemotherapy. Emergency rooms rationed life-saving antibiotics. Anesthetics vanished from operating rooms. This wasn’t a one-time crisis-it was the new normal. And the federal government, after years of reactive moves, finally launched a major overhaul in 2025. But is it enough?

What’s Really Causing Drug Shortages?

It’s not just bad luck or supply chain hiccups. The problem runs deep. Most critical drugs-especially sterile injectables like saline, insulin, and cancer meds-are made in just a handful of factories. Over 78% of these are produced in only five facilities nationwide. If one goes down, thousands of hospitals feel it. And most of those factories? They’re overseas. China supplies roughly 80% of the raw ingredients, called active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), used in U.S. medications. These APIs are cheap to make abroad, but they’re fragile. A single storm, political tension, or factory inspection delay can trigger a nationwide shortage.

Even worse, making these drugs isn’t profitable. Companies lose money on low-margin essentials like antibiotics and painkillers. Why invest in backup production lines when you can make more money on pricier specialty drugs? The market doesn’t reward safety-it rewards profit. So when a factory shuts down or a shipment gets stuck, there’s no Plan B.

The Federal Response: SAPIR and the 2025 Executive Order

In August 2025, President Trump signed Executive Order 14178, which dramatically expanded the Strategic Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients Reserve, or SAPIR. This program, first created in 2020, now stocks up on raw ingredients-not finished pills or injections-for 26 essential medicines. The logic? APIs last 3 to 5 years longer than finished drugs and cost 40-60% less to store. Instead of hoarding vials that expire, the government is stockpiling the building blocks.

SAPIR targets antibiotics, anesthetics, and oncology drugs-the most critical and most frequently shorted. The idea is simple: if a factory fails, the U.S. can quickly turn stored APIs into medicine using domestic fill-finish facilities. It’s a shift from reacting to shortages to preparing for them.

But here’s the catch: only 26 drugs. That’s less than 5% of all drugs that have ever gone short. The FDA’s own database shows over 1,200 drugs have had shortages since 2010. Oncology drugs alone make up 31% of all shortages-but only 4% of SAPIR’s list. Critics say it’s like building a fire station for one street while the whole neighborhood burns.

Other Federal Moves: Reporting, Manufacturing, and Data

Beyond stockpiling, the federal government is trying to fix the system in other ways. The Department of Health and Human Services released its 2025-2028 Draft Action Plan with four goals: Coordinate, Assess, Respond, and Prevent. That means better communication between agencies, clearer data on where drugs come from, faster emergency responses, and incentives to make more drugs in the U.S.

One key tool is the FDA’s Enhanced Shortage Monitoring System, launched in November 2025. It uses AI to track 17 data streams-shipping logs, factory output, hospital orders-and predicts shortages 90 days in advance with 82% accuracy. That’s huge. If a hospital knows a drug is coming short, they can order alternatives, adjust treatments, or even shift patients. Before this, most hospitals only found out when the shelves were empty.

The FDA also started fast-tracking second-source manufacturers. In 2025, 14 companies applied to make versions of drugs that kept running out. If approved, these could add redundancy for eight high-risk medications by mid-2026. For the first time, the government is paying companies to compete-not just rely on one supplier.

And there’s money. The Department of Commerce announced $285 million in CHIPS Act funding for new U.S. drug manufacturing plants. But experts say that’s less than 5% of what’s needed to truly fix the problem. Building a new API facility takes 5 to 7 years and costs over $100 million. The funding helps, but it’s a drop in the bucket.

Government warehouse storing raw drug ingredients, pie chart shows unequal allocation to cancer drugs

Why the System Still Fails

Despite all this, the federal response is falling short in critical ways.

First, reporting is broken. By law, manufacturers must tell the FDA six months before a shortage might happen. But only 58% actually do it. Small companies, especially those with under 50 employees, are 82% non-compliant. Without early warnings, the FDA can’t act in time.

Second, enforcement is weak. Between 2020 and 2024, the FDA issued only 17 warning letters for missed reports. In the EU, under similar rules, they issued 142. No teeth means no accountability.

Third, funding is shrinking. The 2026 HHS budget cut $1.2 billion from FEMA’s emergency response and $850 million from state public health grants. BARDA, the agency that funded breakthrough manufacturing tech, saw its budget drop 22%. Meanwhile, NIH’s drug development funding fell 18% in just one year. How can you innovate your way out of a crisis when you’re cutting the research that solves it?

And then there’s the reality on the ground. Hospitals now spend an average of $1.2 million a year just managing shortages. Pharmacists work 10+ hours a week tracking down drugs. Nurses have to double-check every substitution. Patients skip doses because their meds aren’t there. In one case, a pharmacist had to compound cisplatin-cancer chemo-from raw powder because no finished product was available.

How Other Countries Are Doing It Better

The European Union doesn’t wait for crises. They require member states to stockpile critical drugs and maintain real-time tracking through the European Medicines Agency. Between 2022 and 2024, their shortage rate dropped 37%. Why? Because they treat drug supply like public infrastructure-not a market commodity.

They also approve new manufacturing facilities faster. In the U.S., it takes 28 to 36 months for FDA approval. In the EU, it’s 18 to 24 months. That difference means companies can respond quicker to demand. And they’re not waiting for a crisis to act.

Fractured supply chain: small U.S. factory vs large overseas plant, AI predicts shortages, patient reaches for empty bottle

What’s Working-and What’s Not

The FDA’s Early Notification Pilot Program showed real results. Hospitals that reported early saw shortages last 28% less time. That’s proof that transparency saves lives. But the current administration has weakened mandatory reporting rules. So while the AI system predicts shortages, it’s still flying blind on half the data.

The SAPIR reserve is smart in theory. But it’s like buying a fire extinguisher for your kitchen and ignoring the gas leak in the basement. It helps with a few fires, but doesn’t fix the root cause: a broken economic model that punishes companies for making cheap, essential drugs.

The most promising move? The push for second-source manufacturers. If two or three companies can make the same drug, one factory failure won’t shut down the country. But progress is slow. Only 14 applications are in the pipeline. That’s barely a start.

The Bottom Line

The U.S. government is finally taking drug shortages seriously. But its actions are still patchwork. Stockpiling APIs helps in emergencies. AI predictions give hospitals a heads-up. Fast-tracking new makers could add backup supply. But none of it fixes the core problem: no one makes money on the drugs we need most.

Until the government creates real financial incentives for producing low-margin essentials-through guaranteed contracts, price floors, or public manufacturing partnerships-shortages will keep coming. Stockpiles run out. Predictions get wrong. New factories take years. And patients? They’re still the ones who pay the price.

What is the Strategic Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients Reserve (SAPIR)?

SAPIR is a federal stockpile of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs)-the raw chemical components of drugs-for 26 essential medicines like antibiotics, anesthetics, and cancer treatments. Created in 2020 and expanded in August 2025, it allows the U.S. to quickly produce finished drugs during shortages by using domestic manufacturing facilities. APIs are cheaper and last longer than finished drugs, making them more practical to store.

Why are drug shortages still happening despite federal efforts?

Because federal actions focus on symptoms, not causes. Stockpiling APIs and predicting shortages helps, but doesn’t fix the economic problem: manufacturers lose money on essential, low-cost drugs. With thin profit margins and no requirement to build backup capacity, companies avoid investing in redundancy. Only 58% of manufacturers report potential shortages, and only 12% of API production has been brought back to the U.S. despite years of effort.

How many drugs are currently in shortage in the U.S.?

As of late 2024, there were 277 active drug shortages, according to Global Biodefense. The FDA reported 98 active shortages at the end of 2024, but this number reflects only drugs they’ve officially confirmed. Different agencies use different counting methods, so the true number is likely closer to 250-300. Over 1,200 drugs have had shortages since 2010.

What’s the difference between SAPIR and the old drug stockpile approach?

Old stockpiles stored finished drugs-like vials of saline or antibiotics-which expire within 1-2 years and are expensive to replace. SAPIR stores the raw ingredients (APIs) used to make those drugs. APIs last 3-5 years longer and cost 40-60% less to store. This lets the U.S. respond faster and cheaper by producing drugs only when needed, rather than hoarding perishable products.

Can the U.S. really make more drugs domestically?

Yes, but it’s slow and expensive. Building a new API or drug manufacturing plant in the U.S. takes 5-7 years and costs over $100 million. The FDA approval process takes 28-36 months-much longer than the EU’s 18-24 months. While $285 million in CHIPS Act funding was announced in 2025, experts say $6 billion is needed to make a real difference. So far, 42% of new facilities approved in 2024 were still overseas.

How are hospitals affected by drug shortages?

Hospitals spend an average of $1.2 million per year managing shortages. Pharmacists work over 10 hours a week just tracking down drugs. 68% of facilities report treatment delays, and 42% report medication errors due to last-minute substitutions. In 2025, 89% of hospitals had to switch to alternative drugs, and 63% said those switches required extra monitoring. Some pharmacists even had to compound life-saving drugs from raw powder because nothing else was available.

16 Comments

John Pope
John Pope
January 13, 2026 AT 01:32

Let’s be real - we’re playing Jenga with people’s lives and the government just keeps pulling out the wrong blocks. SAPIR? Cute. But if your house is on fire, stocking up on fire extinguishers for one room doesn’t help when the whole damn attic’s burning. We’re stockpiling APIs like they’re collectible trading cards while hospitals are forced to compound chemo from raw powder. This isn’t policy - it’s performance art for donors who want to look like they care.

And don’t get me started on the ‘second-source manufacturers’ nonsense. You think a startup in Ohio can compete with a Chinese plant that pays workers $2/hour and doesn’t give a shit about OSHA? The market doesn’t reward safety. It rewards greed. And right now, greed is winning. Again.

Adam Vella
Adam Vella
January 13, 2026 AT 13:19

While the strategic stockpiling of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) represents a measurable improvement in supply chain resilience, the structural deficiencies remain unaddressed. The economic disincentives for manufacturing low-margin essential drugs are not mitigated by logistical interventions alone. Without price guarantees, volume commitments, or public-sector production mandates, the private sector will continue to deprioritize these products. Furthermore, the FDA’s reporting compliance rate of 58% indicates a systemic failure of regulatory enforcement - a failure compounded by the absence of meaningful penalties. The EU’s model, which treats pharmaceutical supply as critical infrastructure, offers a more robust framework for policy replication.

Nelly Oruko
Nelly Oruko
January 15, 2026 AT 11:10

So… we’re building fire extinguishers for one room while the whole house is on fire. And we’re surprised when people die? I mean, the data’s right there. 277+ shortages. 80% of APIs from China. Only 4% of SAPIR covers oncology drugs. And the budget cuts? $1.2 billion from FEMA? Are we trying to make this worse?

Also, why does it take 7 years to build a plant here but 2 years in the EU? Someone’s got a lot of explaining to do.

vishnu priyanka
vishnu priyanka
January 15, 2026 AT 12:21

Man, this reminds me of how we handle medicine in India - you wait, you beg, you improvise. One time my aunt got insulin from a pharmacy that stored it in a cooler next to the milk. No fridge. Just ice. We made it work.

But here? You’ve got AI predicting shortages and still people are dying because the system’s too broken to fix. I feel you. But I also feel like y’all got the tech. Why not use it? Just sayin’.

Alan Lin
Alan Lin
January 15, 2026 AT 15:16

Let me cut through the noise: this isn’t a supply chain issue. It’s a moral failure. We have the technology, the capital, the expertise - and yet we let patients suffer because pharmaceutical CEOs think profit margins are more important than human life.

The $285 million in CHIPS funding? A joke. The EU spends ten times that just on surveillance. We’re not lagging because we’re poor - we’re lagging because we’re cruel. If we treated antibiotics like we treat military drones - with urgency, funding, and national priority - this crisis would’ve been solved in 2021.

Stop pretending this is a policy problem. It’s a character problem.

Lance Nickie
Lance Nickie
January 17, 2026 AT 10:47

lol SAPIR? More like SAPIR-NOPE. They’re stockpiling chemicals and calling it a plan? Next they’ll be hoarding salt and calling it ‘emergency nutrition.’

sam abas
sam abas
January 18, 2026 AT 01:37

Look, I’ve read the FDA’s 2025 Draft Action Plan. Four goals: Coordinate, Assess, Respond, Prevent. Sounds nice on paper. But here’s the thing - they didn’t even fix the reporting system from 2020. Only 58% of manufacturers report? That’s not incompetence - that’s negligence. And the FDA issued 17 warning letters in four years? In the EU? 142. That’s not a difference in policy. That’s a difference in will.

And let’s talk about the math: 26 drugs in SAPIR. 1,200+ drugs have had shortages since 2010. That’s like having a fire department that only shows up for garage fires and ignores apartment buildings. You can’t predict a shortage if you don’t even know what’s going on. The AI system? Cool. But garbage in, garbage out. Half the data’s missing because nobody’s required to tell the truth.

And the budget cuts? HHS slashing $850M from state health grants while we’re trying to build a national drug safety net? That’s like trying to build a house while tearing down the foundation.

People keep saying ‘it’s complicated.’ Nah. It’s not complicated. It’s corrupt. The system is designed to protect profits, not patients. And until we admit that, none of this - not SAPIR, not AI, not second-source manufacturers - is gonna matter.

Priyanka Kumari
Priyanka Kumari
January 18, 2026 AT 09:09

Thank you for writing this with such clarity. I’ve worked in hospital pharmacy for 14 years, and every day feels like playing Tetris with dying people. We’ve had to substitute antibiotics that cause seizures. We’ve had to delay chemo because the vials were out. Nurses cry in the supply closet. Pharmacists work 14-hour days just to find one dose of saline.

The EU doesn’t wait for disasters - they plan for them. We treat medicine like a commodity. They treat it like a right. We need to stop pretending this is a market failure. It’s a moral failure. And we can fix it - but only if we choose to.

Avneet Singh
Avneet Singh
January 18, 2026 AT 13:12

Let’s not romanticize the EU’s model. Their system is bureaucratic, overregulated, and stifles innovation. The U.S. has always led in pharmaceutical innovation - precisely because we allow market forces to operate. The fact that you’d trade our dynamic ecosystem for a centralized, slow-moving EU bureaucracy is… quaint. SAPIR is a band-aid, yes - but so is universal healthcare. Sometimes you need to let the market correct itself. The real issue? Too many regulators, not enough entrepreneurs.

Trevor Whipple
Trevor Whipple
January 19, 2026 AT 05:31

Y’all act like the government just woke up. Nah. They’ve been asleep since 2007. And now they’re doing a TikTok dance with a fire extinguisher and calling it leadership. Meanwhile, my cousin’s mom skipped chemo because the hospital ran out. Again. And the CEO of Pfizer made $80M last year. So yeah. Let’s keep pretending this is about ‘supply chains’ and not about greed.

Lethabo Phalafala
Lethabo Phalafala
January 19, 2026 AT 21:44

My heart is breaking reading this. I’m from South Africa - we know what it means to wait for medicine. We’ve had people die because the pharmacy ran out of ARVs. But here? You’ve got AI, you’ve got money, you’ve got the tech - and you’re still letting people suffer? This isn’t a shortage. It’s a betrayal.

They’re stockpiling chemicals like they’re saving for a rainy day - but the rain has been falling for 15 years. And the roof? It’s already caved in.

Milla Masliy
Milla Masliy
January 19, 2026 AT 21:44

As someone who’s worked in global health logistics, I’ve seen this play out in 12 countries. The U.S. has the resources to fix this - but not the will. The EU doesn’t wait for a crisis to act. They build redundancy into the system from day one. We wait for a hospital to run out of insulin before we even think about funding a backup plant.

It’s not about money. It’s about priorities. And right now, our priority is quarterly earnings, not human lives.

Damario Brown
Damario Brown
January 21, 2026 AT 09:41

Wow. So the government finally did something. 🙃

Let me get this straight - you’re proud of stockpiling 26 drugs while 300+ are still missing? You think AI predicting shortages is progress? Nah. That’s just putting a Band-Aid on a hemorrhage.

And you wanna know what’s funny? The same people who scream ‘free market!’ when it’s about crypto or NFTs are the first to cry when a kid can’t get their asthma inhaler.

It’s not a shortage. It’s a crime. And nobody’s going to jail.

Clay .Haeber
Clay .Haeber
January 22, 2026 AT 18:38

Oh wow, the government’s finally doing something. 🤡

Let me grab my popcorn - they’re stockpiling APIs like they’re trading cards from 2003. ‘Oh no, we ran out of insulin?’ ‘Don’t worry, we’ve got 120kg of the raw chemical in a warehouse in Ohio!’

Meanwhile, nurses are mixing chemo from powder because the vials are gone. And you’re patting yourselves on the back for ‘innovation.’

Next they’ll be offering a 10% discount on oxygen tanks if you sign up for a loyalty card.

Capitalism: where life-saving drugs are treated like limited-edition sneakers.

Angel Tiestos lopez
Angel Tiestos lopez
January 23, 2026 AT 06:08

bro… we’re building a fire station for one house while the whole block is burning 🏥🔥

ai predicting shortages? cool. but if you don’t fix why the fire started, you’re just good at spotting smoke.

also, why is it cheaper to ship chemicals from china than make them in ohio? 🤔

someone please tell me we’re not all just… pretending we care.

🥺

John Pope
John Pope
January 24, 2026 AT 14:26

And now the author just posted a ‘What’s Working’ section like this is some kind of TED Talk. Nah. We’re not here to celebrate half-measures. We’re here because a 7-year-old in Ohio missed her chemo because the hospital ran out. Again.

SAPIR doesn’t save lives. People do. And right now, the people on the ground are drowning while the suits are taking selfies with their fire extinguishers.

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